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First, nations that depend on foreign oil are reluctant to join efforts to combat weapons proliferation, terrorism, or aggression. One example is the French, Russian, and Chinese resistance to sanctions against Iran. Second, high energy revenues in the hands of oil exporting nations allow governments to act against their neighbors and the United States. For example, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has built support for his economic vision by subsidizing oil for neighboring countries and “gained leverage over them by purchasing bonds to finance their debt.”43 The third problem is the fact that the oil market is not a free market. Governments of oil- rich states do not allow free market access to develop, exploit, and expand supply, and thereby effectively control the world’s major oil reserves. As world demand for oil rises, these states are even less dependent on foreign investment for the development and exploitation of their resources, causing prices to increase even further since supply does not necessarily increase. The enormous revenues governments generate in this way allow them, in some cases, to stifle democratic movements and suppress civil rights – a pattern which has been proven by policy experts time and again and in which the United States, as the world’s leading oil consumer, has been a participant for many years. Governments in such states tend, for example, to use their revenues to relieve social pressures that might otherwise lead to demands for greater accountability from and representation in government. Or they spend excessively on police, internal security, and intelligence forces that can be used to contain opposition.44 Climate Change and Security In order to remain a world leader, the United States must address the issue of manmade global warming and its root cause, the consumption of hydrocarbon-based fuels. After all, the international community has identified climate change as a threat to human life, ecological and political stability, and economic growth. At the same time, mitigation policy can provide an important avenue of engagement with both China and India—the other two large CO2 emitters and emerging superpowers—and promises to strengthen U.S. national security at home and abroad.45 Hurricane Katrina demonstrated how an extreme weather event could kill and endanger large numbers of people, cause civil disorder, and damage critical infrastructure within the borders of the United States. And it may not remain an isolated incident. The 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change explicitly warns that coastal populations in North America, including 50 percent of U.S. citizens, will be increasingly vulnerable to climate change related events. A National Aeronautics and Space Administration simulation that includes a forty-centimeter sea-level rise over the next forty years and a category three hurricane found, for example, that large parts of New York City would be inundated under these conditions.46 Yet such severe weather events could strike sooner rather than later, and possibly have a direct impact on national security by damaging critical military assets today. A 15PDF Image | Shaping Energy Technology Transition
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