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Plan de Energías Renovables 2011- 2020. reducción acumulada de la intensidad energética primaria del 0,8% en el horizonte del 2020, véase la figura 3.3.3. tep/M€00 205 195 185 175 165 Figura 3.3.3. Escenario de referencia: evolución de la intensidad de energía primaria Intensidad energía primaria escenario referencia 155 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Fuente: MITyC/IDAE 3.3.3 Evolución 2010-2020 del consumo de energía final en el escenario de referencia De acuerdo con las hipótesis de partida para la definición de este escenario, la falta de nuevas actuaciones de eficiencia energética a partir del año 2010 estimularía un incremento del consumo de energía final a una tasa media anual de un 2% entre 2010 y 2020, situándose la demanda final de energía en el año 2020 superior a 114 Mtep sin considerar los consumos no energéticos, véase la tabla 3.3.2. Tabla 3.3.2. Escenario de referencia: consumo de energía final ktep 2005 2010 2015 2020 Carbón Prod. petrolíferos Gas natural Electricidad Energías renovables 2.424 54.376 17.145 20.836 3.678 1.693 48.371 16.573 21.410 5.375 2.163 48.258 21.152 25.661 6.675 2.134 49.369 23.254 30.920 8.070 Total usos energéticos 98.458 93.423 103.908 113.748 Usos no energéticos Prod. petrolíferos Gas natural 7.842 7.362 480 6.416 5.941 475 6.865 6.415 450 6.865 6.415 450 Total usos finales 106.300 99.838 110.773 120.613 Fuente: MITyC/IDAE Nota: En lo que respecta al uso del carbón y su aportación a la generación eléctrica y al suministro de energía primaria consignado en los cuadros de planificación energética, se ha supuesto que será compatible y conforme al marco europeo en la materia. 61PDF Image | PLAN DE ENERGIAS RENOVABLES
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