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1-5 SL-5641 Final for replacement during operations and maintenance. Our detailed evaluation of cost reduction potential is provided in Appendix E.5. Sargent & Lundy reviewed the engineering assumptions, industry data, and studies that constitute the basis of the SunLab Cost Model for the major cost drivers. The review was not based on just applying an experience curve, but an engineering review. We reviewed the assumptions and made adjustments as deemed appropriate based on our experience. We calculated the progress ratio and compared it to actual experience curves from other industries. The calculated progress ratio value was then used to determine estimated costs for a range of deployments. 1.3.6 Operation and Maintenance Costs Sargent & Lundy reviewed the SunLab cost model against interviews and actual data provided to us during a site visit to Kramer Junction and our knowledge and internal database of O&M costs for electric power plants. We reviewed the SunLab assumptions and made adjustments as appropriate based on our experience and information provided by Kramer Junction. 1.3.7 Financial Modeling Analysis Methodology The financial model used for developing generating costs is a spreadsheet pro forma financial model of the type used in competitive industry to support power project planning and financing. S&L regularly reviews such models as part of our due diligence practice, working with lenders and investors in project financing. In some cases we also support project developers by writing and maintaining such models for them. The main analysis engine is a standard income statement that includes calculations of energy production, revenues, operation and maintenance expenses, fuel expenses, depreciation, insurance, property taxes, interest, investment tax credit, and income tax. The investment tax credit for solar technologies is represented. Once after-tax income was determined in the income statement, depreciation was added back and payback of debt principal was subtracted to obtain cash available for dividends. The dividend stream and equity investment into the project was combined to compute the equity internal rate of return for the project. All evaluations were done on a lifetime $/MWh evaluated cost basis, covering 30 years of service.PDF Image | Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts
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