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Plan de Energías Renovables 2011- 2020. que respecta a la disponibilidad comercial de este producto27, se asumen las siguientes hipótesis para el caso de España: Aparición en el mercado a mediados de la década. El bioetanol 2G podría suponer en 2020 un 13% del potencial total de producción de etanol. En este caso, además, se asume que este potencial de etanol 2G no provendría sólo de la instalación de nueva capacidad sino también parcialmente de la modificación de algunas plantas existentes. La evolución de la contribución porcentual del bioetanol 2G sobre el total de bioetanol se muestra en las siguientes gráficas: Figura 4.1.8. Evolución de la contribución porcentual del bioetanol 2G sobre el total de bioetanol 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Así, la evolución prevista de capacidad productiva de bioetanol 2G sería la reflejada en el siguiente gráfico: Figura 4.1.9. Evolución prevista de la capacidad de producción de bioetanol 2G (tep) 450.000 400.000 350.000 300.000 250.000 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Fuente: IDAE BE 2G tep BE 1G tep Fuente: IDAE 27 Según la nota de la Comisión Europea The Impact of a minimum 10% obligation for biofuel use in the EU-27 in 2020 on agricultural markets, AGRI G-2/WM D(2007), se estima asumible que la contribución de los biocarburantes de 2a Generación pueda alcanzar en 2020 el 30% del consumo. 107PDF Image | PLAN DE ENERGIAS RENOVABLES
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