PLAN DE ENERGIAS RENOVABLES

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PLAN DE ENERGIAS RENOVABLES ( plan-de-energias-renovables )

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Plan de Energías Renovables 2011- 2020. En el escenario bajo se produce relajamiento general de los objetivos de restricción de las emisiones de CO2. En este escenario se han estimado unos costes de CO2 en línea con el nivel de precios del mercado de CO2 existentes en marzo de 2010 y que estaban en torno a 15 €/Tm CO2. Adicionalmente a estos tres escenarios, el precio del CO2 podría incluso ser "0" de encontrarnos en un entorno en que se abandonaran las políticas de reducción de emisiones de CO2. En cualquier caso, no se ha considerado esta hipótesis. La siguiente gráfica muestra la evolución esperada del precio del CO2 en los tres escenarios descritos: Figura 3.2.8. Escenarios de precios de CO2 Proyecciones del precio de CO 2 Precio CO 2 € constantes 2010 €/Ton 50 50 46 44 48 41 43 37 40 30 21 21 20 10 33 31 39 35 24 26 28 29 23 29 30 30 26 27 27 28 28 29 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 18 20 1516 22 24 25 26 1 1416 3 1415 18 19 20 21 23 1 1 1 14 14 14 3 3 3 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Precio CO2 escenario exigente Precio CO2 escenario base rico rico frica o con el fin del periodo de exigencia del Protocolo de K Fuente: BCG Precio CO2 escenario bajo , COP 17 – Dic 2007 Sud ó Precio CO2 hist importado hist ó Nota: el cambio de escenarios se puede producir en hitos como e OP 16 - Dic 2006 Mexico á to– dic 2012 C l t De acuerdo con las proyecciones realizadas, el precio de los derechos de emisión del CO2 en el Escenario base se situaría en 25 euros por tonelada en el año 2020. 3.3 DESCRIPCIÓN DEL ESCENARIO DE REFERENCIA España viene realizando históricamente planificaciones en eficiencia energética y energías renovables, estando vigente en la actualidad la Estrategia de Ahorro y Eficiencia Energética en España 2004-2012 (E4), instrumentada a través de sus Planes de Acción 2005-2007 y 2008-2012, el recientemente aprobado Plan de Acción de Eficiencia Energética de España 2011-2020, y ha finalizado recientemente la vigencia del Plan de Energías Renovables 2005-2010, antecedente inmediato del plan que ahora se presenta. io o 57

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