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Low-Carbon Development in Latin America

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Low-Carbon Development in Latin America ( low-carbon-development-latin-america )

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Figure 3. Latin America and the Caribbean’s regional greenhouse gas emissions distribution of the countries in the region needs to analyse carefully the economic impact of climate change over the medium and long term and to design and implement a strategy to minimise further carbon emissions (this is known as ‘mitigation’) and make communities resilient to the impacts of climate change already taking place (this is known as ‘adaptation’). Several countries have made progress conducting studies or implementing mitigation measures such as using clean technologies or promoting energy saving and energy efficiency, and are actively searching for alternatives to improve their sustainability through national policies. For example, the Dominican Republic has set a target to source 25% of its energy from renewable sources by 2025, and is fostering renewable energy generation from wind farms and solar plants, which currently represent 2% of national power generation.27 However, greater efforts are necessary to increase the share of renewable energies in the region. Nevertheless, the regional energy model faces other determinants. For example, in recent years some Latin American and Caribbean countries have experienced significant increases in the consumption of natural gas for power generation. The implementation of these projects was justified by the argument that natural gas would replace power plants based on oil and coal. 11% Other 4% Peru 4% Chile 5% Colombia 11% Argentina 12% Venezuela 27% Mexico 26% Brazil Energy use practices and deforestation are interconnected. As shown in Figure 4, the main regional GHG source is land-use change and forestry (47%), followed by energy (22%), agriculture (20%) and waste (3%).23 Land-use change and forestry is worsening as deforestation rates increase, in particular in the Amazon rainforest which is shared by Brazil, Peru, and to a lesser extent Ecuador, Colombia, Venezuela, Suriname, Guyana, French Guyana and Bolivia. It is estimated that between 2000 and 2010, 6% of the Amazon rainforest was deforested.24 According to economic forecasts such as one carried out by the Inter-American Develoment Bank (IDB), a potentially subdued level of economic growth will continue in the coming years.25 Growth generally means a rise in energy consumption, primarily of fossil fuels, and consequently the region’s GHG emissions are likely to increase in absolute terms if measures to reduce them are not implemented. Figure 5 shows projections of energy consumption and GHG emissions to the year 2100, based on a business-as-usual model. These projections of future emissions stand in direct opposition to the global climate change goals which are being discussed in international negotiations, which aim to limit the global increase in temperature to 2°C26 by limiting the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere. This implies that global GHG emissions must reach a turning point by 2020. Consequently, each Source: Prepared by Practical Action, Latin America, using information from the World Bank Database.22 However, over time the natural Low-Carbon Development in Latin America and the Caribbean: Evolution, experiences and challenges 9

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