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Perspective: Waste Heat to Power — Still Waiting for a Breakthrough PERSPECTIVE #EI229456 Jay Holman IN THIS PERSPECTIVE This IDC Energy Insights Perspective assesses the North American market for waste heat to power and discusses the three primary factors that could move the industry out of its current state of stagnation. These factors are government incentives, new business models, and technological developments. The Opportunity for Power Generation More than 1,050TBtu/year of estimated work potential is available in the United States from waste heat generated in the industrial and commercial sectors. The potential may actually be larger, as this estimate is conservative and excludes some sources of waste heat that may be significant (such as cooling water). However, not all of this work potential can be used to generate electricity, as not all waste heat is suitable for capture and reuse. Additionally, of the waste heat that is captured and reused, only a portion will be used to generate electricity; the rest will be used directly as heat. These uncertainties make the actual addressable market for waste heat to power in the United States extremely difficult to estimate, but 1,050TBtu/year is a starting point that allows the size of the market to be put into perspective relative to other sources of clean energy. For comparison purposes, in 2009, approximately 697TBtu of energy was generated by wind and 3,900TBtu of energy was generated by biomass. The waste heat market size estimate is based in part on a report commissioned by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in 2008 titled, "Waste Heat Recovery: Technologies and Opportunities in U.S. Industry." The report examined over 25 specific industrial processes and applications in the United States that together generate roughly 1,500TBtu of unrecovered waste heat per year (based on a reference enthalpy of 77F [25C]). This translates into an estimated work potential of 600TBtu, once conversion efficiencies are taken into account. However, the report excluded waste heat from commercial boilers (i.e., those found in schools, hospitals, government buildings, and so forth), losses from heated products, heat from cooling water, and other applications. July 2011, IDC Energy Insights #EI229456 IDC Energy Insights: Renewable Energy Strategies: Perspective Global Headquarters: 5 Speen Street Framingham, MA 01701 USA P.508.935.4400 F.508.988.7881 www.idc -ei.comPDF Image | Waste Heat to Power Still Waiting for a Breakthrough
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