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EnergySector Fundamentals: Economic Analysis, Projections, and Supply Curves 9.1 EGSintheEnergySector ___________________________93 9.2 BaseloadElectricityOptions _________________________95 9.3 TransmissionAccess _____________________________95 9.4 ForecastingBaseloadNeeds _________________________95 9.5 ForecastDemandandSupplyCalculations _________________96 9.6 Risk _______________________________________97 9.7 EconomicsandCostofEnergy ________________________99 9.8 UsingLevelizedCostsforComparison ____________________99 9.8.1 Fixed costs _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _910 9.8.2 Variable costs of operation _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _911 9.8.3 Levelized cost projections _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _912 9.8.4 Supply and capacity _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _913 9.8.5 The aggregate industry supply curve _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _914 9.8.6 Geothermal supply characteristics _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _915 9.9 EGSEconomicModels ____________________________918 9.9.1 GETEM model description _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _918 9.9.2 Updated MIT EGS model _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _918 9.9.3 Base case and sensitivity _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _918 CHAPTER 9 9.10 SupplyCurvesandModelResults ______________________924 9.10.1 Supply of EGS power on the edges of existing hydrothermal systems _ _ _ _926 9.10.2 Supply of EGS power from conductive heating _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _927 9.10.3 Effects of learning on supply curves _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _928 9.10.4 Supply curve for EGS _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _930 9.10.5 EGS well characteristics _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _931 9.11 LearningCurvesandSupplyCurves_____________________931 9.12 ForecastSupplyofGeothermalEnergy ___________________935 9.12.1 The role of technology _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _936 9.12.2 Variable debt/equity rates vs. fixed charge rates (FCRs) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _939 9.12.3 Deriving cost and supply curves _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _941 9.13 Conclusions __________________________________943 Footnotes ______________________________________944 References _____________________________________947 Appendices _____________________________________949 91PDF Image | Energy Sector Fundamentals
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