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ElectraTherm Enters Canada’s Natural Gas Compression Market

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ElectraTherm Enters Canada’s Natural Gas Compression Market ( electratherm-enters-canadas-natural-gas-compression-market )

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percent of their imports from Venezuela over 25 years at interest rates between 1 percent to 2 percent whenever the world price of oil exceeds $50/barrel. With the exception of a brief window in 2009, oil has been above the price point since May 2005.6 As a result, in some countries cumulative oil import debt as a percent of GDP is as high as 50 percent,7 and PDVSA estimates that one third of the Carib- bean’s foreign debt will be owed to Venezuela by 2015.8 Petrocaribe is also not in Venezuela’s long- term interests, since it reduces its oil revenues at a time when it is facing its own economic crisis.9 In fact, Venezuela has already altered the terms of the subsidies for its exports to Petrocaribe. Venezuela proposed doubling the interest rate to between 2 and 4 percent for newer members Guatemala and Honduras, as well as financing a smaller propor- tion of the oil it sells to Petrocaribe.10 Citing these changes in financial terms, Guatemala withdrew from the pact in November 2013. Other Petrocari- be members such as Honduras and the Dominican Republic indicate that deliveries have become un- reliable or fall below agreed to amounts.11 Under the present energy matrix, simply shifting from subsidized rates directly to market prices for energy would make Central American and Carib- bean economies less competitive to trade pressure from other regions. This issue will become even more salient if the United States is successful in negotiating the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. Decreased competitiveness for regional businesses and enterprises will only contribute to the growing attraction of illicit markets and trafficking opera- tions across the two regions, both of which are asso- ciated with high levels of violence and corruption. Given that existing regional solutions to high en- ergy costs are under stress, what alternatives are available to Central America and the Caribbean? 1. New sources of petroleum and petroleum prod- ucts: It is possible that the North American en- ergy renaissance will provide sufficient energy at reasonable prices to the region, particularly in the form of refined products. Some analyses of future oil prices suggest prices closer to $85- $90 per barrel. The volumes of oil flowing out of Canadian and U.S. shale oil fields are already driving the export of refined products from Gulf refineries and creating pressure to lift the restrictions on crude oil exports. In the long run, Mexico’s energy reforms may result in the availability of additional crude and refined petroleum products in the Caribbean basin. However, in even the best case, paying the full market price of oil without subsidized financ- ing will entail a very significant rise in present costs in Central America and the Caribbean. 2. Alternatives to Petrocaribe: It may be tech- nically feasible to set up new regional supply arrangement to cushion price shocks experi- enced by Central American states. This would most likely need to involve regional multilater- al financial institutions and Mexico, Colombia and the United States as the other major sup- pliers of petroleum products in the Caribbe- an basin. This would hedge against relying on a single source that may experience financial volatility and supply unreliability. It would also diminish the political vulnerability of partici- pating oil importing states by shifting from a single source model to a multilateral model. Such a model, however, would maintain the disincentive to invest in new technologies and to transition to a more efficient and green en- ergy production matrix. It would also have to overcome toxic relations between the United States and Venezuela. 3. Liquefied and compressed natural gas (LNG and CNG, respectively): Natural gas is relative- ly inexpensive and available for export from Peru and Trinidad and Tobago. In the not too distant future, it will become available in in- creasing volumes from Colombia, Venezuela, and the United States. Recent studies by the Inter-American Development Bank show that liquefied natural gas and compressed natural gas are feasible alternatives from a technical Changing EnErgy DynamiCs in thE WEstErn hEmisphErE Latin amEriCa initiativE, ForEign poLiCy at Brookings 2

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