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Chapter 1. Introduction Recent developments in economic, political and natural phenomena have created a situation of the utmost urgency for U.S. policymakers. Dependence on depletable hydrocarbons1 to meet the nation’s energy needs has led to significant economic costs, environmental consequences, and geopolitical risks. These factors require a transition of the national energy economy from hydrocarbons to renewable energy sources and other alternative energy technologies. Not making this energy transition threatens the future peace and prosperity of the United States. Technological innovation in energy generation, distribution, and use will provide the solution to this problem. Current U.S. dependence on hydrocarbon energy resources is extensive. The United States relies upon these resources for the vast majority of its energy needs: currently, 98 percent of transportation fuels and more than 75 percent of fuels used for electricity generation are hydrocarbon-based.2 This high level of dependence makes an abrupt switch to renewable energy technologies highly improbable and inadvisable, necessitating a transition period to successfully lead the United States to a renewable energy economy. To facilitate this transition period, a comprehensive National Energy Plan must be designed and implemented. This plan must recognize that government should not select which technologies will succeed in a transition, but rather establish a system where the market decides which technologies will ultimately be incorporated into the energy landscape. The plan should also include measures to optimize hydrocarbon use (including effective use of low greenhouse gas emitting hydrocarbon fuel sources), educate energy consumers, and enhance energy conservation. In designing and implementing an energy transition plan that addressed these key items, the following research questions emerged: • What are the consequences of continued U.S. reliance on hydrocarbons? What should the continued role of hydrocarbons be? • What energy alternatives are available to meet growing energy demand? Do they achieve U.S. goals for cleaner energy, economic growth, and national security? • Which federal policies are most effective in facilitating/encouraging an energy technology transition? • What lessons should be drawn from the rejection of cold fusion by the mainstream science community in the United States? • What lessons should be drawn from the consequences of biofuels mandates in the United States? 1PDF Image | Shaping Energy Technology Transition
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