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t FUEL FROM THE SKY: SOLAR POWER’S POTENTIAL FOR WESTERN ENERGY SUPPLY the spring of 2001 was compounded by very low water levels in the Northwest. Because hydro gen- eration experiences large variations in output, a large reserve margin in the region is required. This also results in an inefficient use of the transmission system, because lines need to be in place to move the power when needed, but are underutilized in low-hydro years and after the spring runoff when hydro generation subsides to lower summer levels. The average utilization of hydro in the West is 44.8%—a capacity factor that already reflects a considerable derate of western hydro capacity. Hydro generation will play an important role in future western energy supply, but some existing dams may be dismantled, and thus western hydro capacity could fall somewhat over the next decade. Renewable energy generation from wind and solar in the Southwest may prove to be the substitute energy sources for displacement. While the breaching of larger dams in the Northwest is a possibility, we do not believe that any of the large dams along the Colorado River will disap- pear, because these dams play an important role in water resource management and recreation. Wind Exhibit 49: Reduction of Western Hydro Capacity, if Licenses Are Not Renewed ive EExpiratio5n2,00N0ame of enw project 036) 151) 595) 240) 531) 611) 523) 523) 502) 569) 984) 824) 760) 183) 183) (1,036) Diamond Valley 50,000 rk County Pumped Storage New Existing (115) 48,000 (443) (646) Cla 46,000 (3,290) 44,000 (2,080) 42,000 (1,912) (0) 40,000 (979) 38,000 (67) 36,000 (1,415) (840) 34,000 (936) 32,000 (424) - Exhibit 50: Hydro Generation in the West, 1970-2000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Year 120 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Generation (GWh) Capacity MWPDF Image | Solar Fuel From The Sky
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