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FUEL FROM THE SKY: SOLAR POWER’S POTENTIAL FOR WESTERN ENERGY SUPPLY American tax dollars, but today the country is importing this technology. At the same time, shareholder value and jobs in wind power are created in Europe. American financial institutions are also missing out on the business of thousands of megawatts of new wind currently being installed in the U.S. This is because the default of Kenetech left American banks skittish, while European banks are willing to put up the capital for new wind turbines in the U.S. and elsewhere. While it is a bitter lesson for American policy makers, the success of wind could be a proxy for the deployment of solar power in the U.S. Today, however, it is possible that solar power will be the next renewable generation technology that the U.S. will import from Europe. This could hap- pen unless policy makers are able to get legislation enacted that results in the deployment of new solar capacity in the West. This is because European countries, and in particular Spain and Italy, are ready to move. Ironically, the next large international meeting on solar generating tech- nologies is scheduled to take place in—cloudy and overcast—Berlin. The American solar power industry is trying to bring this meeting to the U.S., where this renewable energy technology was invented. But even if this meeting were held in the U.S., the solar power industry will move where it finds political will and money. And currently those places appear to be in Europe. With little imagina- tion, it appears likely that next generation of solar power plants could carry the “Made in Europe” label. And it is only a matter of time when, after incubating in Spain or Italy, solar power plants will be imported to this country. RDI Consulting sees great similarities in the complexity of technology, engineering obstacles, efficiency, and cost reduction potential between wind power and CSP solar generating technolo- gies. It appears likely that the success of wind power could be repeated for solar power. Today, a decade after the last parabolic trough solar power plant was built near Harper Lake, California, there is ample proof that CSP plants can operate reliably over decades, and also that, as wind has shown, technology incubation works. The success of an incubation period for solar power is all but guaranteed. This is because, unlike similar promises by the industry to introduce electric cars, CSP plants have already achieved a level of performance that makes them practical. They have proven their merit in over a decade of operation in the Mojave Desert, and cost-reduction projections for CSP technologies are based on the fact that they use ordinary technology in an extraordinary way. Therefore, it is our belief that a large-scale deployment of solar power will bring with it consider- able cost reductions. In the light of our analysis, the secret of solar power success is simply new projects. It is up to regulators and policy makers to make it happen. And it appears that all it takes is to follow a proven recipe. 109PDF Image | Solar Fuel From The Sky
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