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This work builds on our current EERE-funded work on wind energy. Solar energy is more complex than wind, although there are similarities. Like wind, solar energy is an intermittent and geographically heterogeneous resource. The techniques used for estimating wind energy resources will be adapted to apply to solar. PNNL/JGCRI will consult with NREL experts in this effort, noting that NREL's renewable modeling efforts are currently focused on wind (through the WinDS model). As part of our current work to represent wind energy, a methodology for representing the incorporation of an intermittent electricity supply into the grid is being implemented. This methodology can also be used to model the addition of PV/solar into the electric grid. 3. Results and Accomplishments At the beginning of the FY 2005 work, we will have implemented a detailed representation of wind and building energy in our long-term modeling framework. Using this representation, we will conduct an analysis of the potential for these sectors to contribute to climate stabilization. This analysis is intended to demonstrate how this modeling capability can be applied to address how specific renewable and energy efficiency technologies compare to other potential mitigation technologies. We would anticipate that the initial communication of this analysis will be through a seminar presented to EERE staff, through which we can obtain feedback on the methodologies used. The provision of solar energy can take many forms: solar energy supply will likely be integrated into our modeling system in a number of places. PV electric generation can be distributed or • centralized. Electricity can also be generated through central solar-thermal plants. Distributed solar water heating can be used on buildings. Our conceptual plan will consider all of these modes. Residential hot water heating, for example, can be implemented building on the first year's work on building energy services (where residential building hot water heating is a specific energy service). The detailed buildings sector will also supply an estimate of building roof space that can be used to estimate the potential for rooftop solar electric generation. The solar resource calculation will need to take into account the difference between total solar irradiance (at ground level) and direct solar irradiance: the later is necessary for central solar thermal power stations. FY 2005 tasks and timeline: 3 Months: Memo outlining technical plan for creation of solar energy supply module(s), version 1.0. • Develop solar supply module(s). • Meet with NREL researchers and others to collect necessary solar technology data. 6 Months: • Memo outlining progress • Implement solar supply module(s), and demonstrate with dummy data. • Continue data development. 9 Months: • Version 1.0 model description • Complete phase 1 of solar supply model development(s). • Demonstrate with U.S. data. 12 Months: • Updated model description. Sample results with U.S. data. 175 EERE Crosscutting ActivitiesPDF Image | DOE Solar Energy Technologies Program
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