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Long-Term Climate Modeling of EERE Technologies Performing Organization: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) Key Technical Contact: James A. (Jae) Edmonds (Primary Contact), 301-314-6749, jae@pnl.gov DOE HQ Technology Manager: Linda A. Silverman, 202-586-3896, linda.silverman@ee.doe.gov FY 2005 Budget: $100K (DOE/EERE/PAE) ____________________________________________________________________________________ Objectives • PNNL/JGCRI is working to improve the state of art in long-term (100-year) analysis of the potential of solar energy supply in the United States. NOTE: The JGCRI is the Joint Global Change Research Institute—a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland. Accomplishments • As the first step toward this goal, JGCRI is currently implementing an improved representation of solar energy in the ObjECTS MiniCAM model for use in scenarios that will be an integral part of the technology analysis process for the U.S. Climate Change Technology Program. Solar electricity supply will be constrained by resource base and cost, but without an arbitrary capacity limit. Future Directions • Future JGCRI work on solar energy will implement for the United States an explicit set of solar technology options, including central station solar, large-scale PV, distributed rooftop PV, and solar thermal technologies. ____________________________________________________________________________________ 1. Introduction This multi-year project will develop descriptions of DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) technologies that are currently not well represented in the PNNL long-term integrated climate change assessment model. These descriptions will complement the more technologically detailed descriptions that are presently available for other energy supply and transformation options. The first phase (FY 2004 funding) of this project developed and implemented an improved representation of wind energy and building energy efficiency. The second year of this project (FY 2005 funding) is building on this work and focuses on the improvement of representations of solar energy supply and energy efficiency technology in the industrial sector in PNNL's new integrated assessment modeling framework. The goal of the integrated assessment models used at PNNL is to incorporate realistic dynamics of each portion of the climate-energy-economic- agricultural system, but at a level of detail that is transparent and manageable in a 100-year modeling context. The first stage of this work is, therefore, to develop a representation of these two sectors—solar energy and energy use in industry—that is both realistic and compatible (in terms of units, scale, and parameters) with more detailedongoingworkintheseareas.Todevelop these representations, PNNL staff are working with DOE and technical experts in the specific areas of interest to insure accuracy, compatibility and relevance. 2. Technical Approach Solar Energy Supply Module(s) Development. The goal of this portion of the project is to develop a solar energy module for the PNNL modeling system that is consistent with the best present understanding of solar resources, conversion technologies, and integration of solar energy supplies into the power generation system. Two different tasks are involved: (1) development of the conceptual representation of the solar energy supply, and (2) implementation of the solar energy supply module with data for the United States. EERE Crosscutting Activities 174PDF Image | DOE Solar Energy Technologies Program
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