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“Other costs” include design and other • Update of baseline reference system data engineering, site preparation, permitting and interconnection, inspection, and related costs. This part of the bar graph does not change much over time because this analysis assumes increased investment in systems engineering and integration, while the rest of the “other” category is reduced through resultant innovations. Thus, while “other” does not decrease much as a part of the cost, it leads to decreases across the rest of the system. The main improvements that drive reductions in LCOE for these systems are: improvements in PV module cost and efficiency; reductions in installation costs through improved systems engineering; and improved inverter reliability and performance and associated reductions in operations and maintenance costs. For utility-scale systems, LCOE can be reduced principally through improved modules and improved systems integration. For off-grid systems, the greatest potential for LCOE reduction exists with improved systems integration and inverter reliability, thereby decreasing O&M costs, and through the same module improvements as in the other systems. Detailed evaluations of various module technologies have also been completed that show the relative costs of systems with the different types of modules (e.g., CIGS, CdTe, a-Si) and the principal opportunities for cost reductions. 4. Planned FY 2006 Activities 4.1 Analysis During FY 2006, the analysis team will continue to work on improving our understanding of the long- term market potential for solar technologies and reviewing the program’s technical and economic targets, as follows: • Better evaluation approaches of market penetration • Assessments of impacts of CSP for electricity and hydrogen production • Updates of analyses to assess progress toward program goals. 4.2 Benchmarking Benchmarking in FY 2006 will continue, but its focus will shift to more specific gap evaluations and specific technology assessments, as follows: • Improvement of installation cost, system- integration cost, and thin-film manufacturing cost data • Benchmark data on CSP trough and dish deployments. 4.3 Modeling The capability of the SDA model will be expanded and applied, as follows: • Analytic approaches for troughs, dishes, and SDHW integrated within current models to assure consistency • Addition of probability and risk considerations • Application of SDA model supporting PV portfolio prioritization and stage-gate criteria definition • Complete integration of parabolic trough and solar water heating. 5. Major FY 2005 Publications U.S. Department of Energy, Solar Energy Technologies Program: Multi-Year Program Plan 2007–2011, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Washington, DC, September, 2005 (Draft). L. Moore et al., “Photovoltaic Power Plant Experience at Arizona Public Service; a 5-Year Assessment,” Progress in Photovoltaics, 2005. R. Perez et al., “Solution to the Summer Blackouts? How Dispersed Solar Power- Generating Systems Can Help Prevent the Next Major Outage,” Solar Today, Vol. 19, No. 4, pp. 32-35, July/August 2005. ASES/ISES 2005 Solar World Congress, Orlando, FL, Aug. 6–12, 2005: N. Blair, M. Mehos, C. Christensen, S. Janzou, “Cost and Performance Solar Analysis Model for All Solar Technologies.” K. Comer et al. “Characteristics and Feedback from Residential PV Early Adopters.” T. Hoff, R. Perez, and R. Margolis. “Maximizing the Value of Customer-Sited PV Systems Using Storage and Controls.” J. Levene et al. “Analysis of Hydrogen Production from Renewable Electricity Sources.” Systems Integration and Coordination 152PDF Image | DOE Solar Energy Technologies Program
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