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D.6.3 Scale-Up Similar to the collectors, cost reductions due to scale-up are not considered applicable since the mirror area for the same net annual solar-to-electric efficiency, and thus the mirror area, is directly proportional to the plant size. The mirror area is inversely proportional to the efficiency and will influence the mirror cost by reducing the collector area with the improvement of the efficiency. D.6.4 Production Volume Cost reductions were projected based on evaluation of technology improvements and a progress ratio of 0.92. The Case 1 deployment values are used in the S&L evaluation. The Case 2 deployment values, used in the SunLab projections, are provided for comparison of the production volume between the two cases. These are shown in Table D-20. Table D-20 —Mirror Volume (Square Meters, Cumulative, Thousands) D-29 SL-5641 Final Case 1 Deployment Case 2 Deployment D.6.5 Cost Comparison 2004 1,120 1,120 2007 4,399 4,399 2010 7,952 11,066 2015 15,818 23,365 2020 27,550 48,782 A comparison of the SunLab projected costs are compared to the SunLab estimated costs in Table D-21. Table D-21 — Mirror Cost Comparison ($/m2) Year SunLab S&L 2004 40 40 2007 36 36 2010 28 32 2015 20 29 2020 16 26PDF Image | Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts
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