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D-22 SL-5641 Final administration, research, etc.). Experience curves is not an established method, but a correlation that has been observed for several different technologies. Cost reductions were projected based on evaluation of technology improvements and experience curves. The SEGS solar field areas are shown below. The cumulative area indicates approximately five doublings were experienced for the SEGS plants. One of the criteria for the applicability of experience curves, according to the Neij literature (1997), is at least three doublings of production volume. Table D-13 — SEGS Solar Field Area SEGS Plant Number MW I 13.8 II 30 III 37 IV 37 V 39 VI 35.5 VII 35.5 VIII 80 IX 80 Solar Field Area, m2 82,960 190,338 230,300 230,300 250,500 188,000 194,280 464,340 483,960 Solar Field Area, m2 - Cumulative 82,960 273,298 503,598 733,898 984,398 1,172,398 1,366,678 1,831,018 2,314,978 There are recognized scale-up cost reductions for increasing the plant size: $B = $A x (BMW/AMW)Sf Where: Plant B is larger than Plant A $B = cost of Plant B $A = cost of Plant A BMW = MW size of Plant B AMW = MW size of Plant A Sf = scale-up factorPDF Image | Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts
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