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The SunLab projected long-term O&M cost is based on an HCE replacement rate of 0.5%, a net annual solar-to- electric efficiency of 17.2%, and 12 hours of thermal storage using a direct thermocline system with HitecXL (ternary) solar salt. The projected long-term plant is basically the same configuration as the projected mid-term plant with the reduction in O&M cost primarily as a result of the increase in plant size to 400 MW. As such, there is the same high risk of achieving the SunLab projected O&M cost. 4.7 COST SENSITIVITIES In this section, variations in the inputs for levelized energy costs are shown to illustrate the sensitivity of energy calculated cost to variations. The sensitivity analysis revealed that the impact on the LEC of the various scenarios are basically the same for both trough and tower technologies. The base case for the sensitivity analysis for the trough in 2020 is 400 MW with a capital cost of $3,204 per kW and annual O&M costs of $14,129, as is shown in Table 4-22. The tower base case is shown for reference. Table 4-22 — S&L Base Case for the Year 2020 4-45 SL-5641 Final 4.6.5.3 Long Term (2020) Year Capacity, MWe Capacity Factor, Capital Cost, $/kW Annual O&M Cost, $k LEC, $/kWh Economic Life General Inflation Equity Rate of Return Cost of Construction Construction Duration Investment Tax Credit Taxes Depreciable Life Trough 2020 400 56.2% $3,220 $14,129 $0.0621 Tower 2020 200 72.9% $3,591 $9,132 $0.0547 30 yrs 2.5 % 14% 7% 1 yr. 10% 40.2% 5 yrs.PDF Image | Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts
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