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3-6 SL-5641 Final later in this section of the report. The suppliers’ strategy will vary depending on the extent of trough plant deployment. 3.4 TOWER Sargent & Lundy’s review and assessment of the SunLab deployment projections for tower solar power plants is included in Appendix E.2. The first step will be deployment of the first commercial power tower facility in Spain (Solar Tres). The Solar Tres design and cost estimate are based on the successful demonstration projects Solar One and Solar Two. “Commercial” is defined as when a power plant is providing electrical power to customers. The next commercial plant will be Solar 50, which is a significant increase in plant size. The net electrical output increases 36.5 MWe (factor of 3.7) and the thermal capacity increases by 260 MWt (factor of 3.2). Solar 50 is the first commercial plant of sufficient size to allow a number of larger plants to be developed. The next commercial steps include Solar 100 and Solar 200. Solar 200, which consists of a net electrical capacity of 200 MWe and thermal capacity of 1,400 MWt (12.7 hours operation at peak output), is about the optimum size monolithic single receiver plant based on physical limitations of technology (specifically, the distance from the heliostat to the receiver). Larger plants are feasible with multiple power towers deployed. The final deployment is Solar 220, which considers an advanced heliostat design and advanced electrical turbine- generator. Table 3-2 shows two scenarios: projection by SunLab and projection by S&L. Table 3-2 — Power Tower Deployment Projections, SunLab and S&L SunLab – 8.7 GWe Solar Tres 13.5 1 Solar50 50 Solar100 100 Solar200 200 Solar220 220 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 2 2 1 13.5 300 2,700 14 314 3,014 7,414 8,734 4,400 5 1,320 13.5 0 50 100 250 200 300 400 600 600 600 800 800 900 1,020 1,000 1,100 8,734 1 1 1 3 3 4 4 5 1 MWe\ Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Installed (MWe) Cumulative (MWe)PDF Image | Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts
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